War with China in 15 years

That’s the prediction from a former Army general:

The former commander of the U.S. Army in Europe says it’s likely the United States will be at war with China in 15 years. Retired Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges said at a Warsaw security forum on Wednesday that European allies will have to do more to ensure their own defenses against Russia as Americans focus more on the Pacific.

Hodges said: “I think in 15 years — it’s not inevitable, but it is a very strong likelihood — that we will be at war with China. The United States does not have the capacity to do everything it has to do in Europe and in the Pacific to deal with the Chinese threat.”

I put no stock in this general’s grand strategic analysis, but the timeframe is interesting, as well as the tacit admission that the US is no longer the sole global superpower it once was, but is merely the foremost global power now. And the trends most certainly do not favor it retaining that status considering how it has not even been able to maintain the Monroe Doctrine or defend its own borders.

Furthermore, the US is not going to fight a war with China until China is completely ready for it, and when that moment arrives, the US will lose its influence over Asia in much the same way Russia has lost its influence over Eastern Europe whether the war is fought or not.


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