Clusterdebacle

Things are rapidly going from bad to worse for the House Democrats and their problematic “impeachment”:

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said Thursday that he and Sen. Charles Schumer haven’t been able over the terms of a Senate impeachment trial, after the two party’s traded angry accusations about how the chamber will proceed.

McConnell, who earlier Thursday threatened to cancel an impeachment trial for President Donald Trump, described the state of play on the Senate floor after meeting with Schumer, the minority leader.

‘We remain at an impasse on these logistics,’ Schumer told colleagues.

‘My colleague wants a special pre-trial guarantee of certain witnesses whom the House Democrats themselves did not bother to pursue as they assembled their case. Or he wants to proceed without giving any organizational resolution forever,’ McConnell said….

Pelosi has to transmit the articles of impeachment and appoint ‘managers’ to prosecute the president. She offered no timeline, saying she wanted to see the Senate’s plan for a ‘fair trial,’ effectively holding the articles over McConnell’s and Trump’s heads.

Her delay came after several House Democrats took up an idea advocated by Harvard Law professor Lawrence Tribe, who has said the public ‘has a right to observe a meaningful trial rather than simply learn that the result is a verdict of not guilty.’

He advocated the idea of delaying sending over the articles to the Senate as a leverage point to try to secure better terms.

Another Harvard Law professor, Noah Feldman, penned an op-ed agreeing that the transmittal of impeachment articles is a crucial act in the process, and that until this happens, Trump technically hasn’t been impeached.

An indefinite delay ‘would pose a serious problem,’ Feldman wrote.

‘Impeachment as contemplated by the Constitution does not consist merely of the vote by the House, but of the process of sending the articles to the Senate for trial. Both parts are necessary to make an impeachment under the Constitution: The House must actually send the articles and send managers to the Senate to prosecute the impeachment. And the Senate must actually hold a trial.’

He added: ‘If the House does not communicate its impeachment to the Senate, it hasn’t actually impeached the president. If the articles are not transmitted, Trump could legitimately say that he wasn’t truly impeached at all.’

This just keeps getting better and better….


Impeachment posturing

Has anyone explained to House Democrats what happens if you hold your breath too long?

The future of the House’s impeachment case against President Trump hung in doubt on Thursday, after the third-ranking House Democrat raised the possibility that the chamber could permanently withhold the articles from the Senate if it did not get assurances of a fair trial.

The morning after the House impeached Mr. Trump nearly along party lines, Representative James E. Clyburn, Democrat of South Carolina, said he was willing to wait “as long as it takes” to transmit the two impeachment articles approved Wednesday night. The House charged Mr. Trump with abuse of power and obstruction of Congress related to his campaign to pressure Ukraine to smear Democratic rivals.

“Until we can get some assurances from the majority leader that he is going to allow for a fair and impartial and trial to take place, we would be crazy to walk in there knowing he has set up a kangaroo court,” Mr. Clyburn said Thursday morning on CNN, referring to Senator Mitch McConnell, Republican of Kentucky and the majority leader.

His remarks came the morning after Speaker Nancy Pelosi threw the matter into doubt by telling reporters shortly after passage of the articles of impeachment that she might wait to transmit them to the Senate until she could determine whether the trial would be fair.

Fine. Let them hold onto the articles of impeachment as long as they like. The Senate does not answer to the House. The longer this Democrat clusterdebacle continues, the better it is for the god-emperor and the American people.



Another Democrat defects

That makes two in one day:

State Senator John Yudichak of Luzerne County, Pennsylvania said that he will be switching his registration to become an Independent. He will caucus with the Republican majority. Yudichak has criticized an increasingly liberal Democratic caucus that has led to this decision…. Yudichak’s announcement comes less than 24 hours since we learned that New Jersey Democratic Congressman Jeff Van Drew has also made a decision that speaks volumes.

No wonder the god-emperor welcomes the impeachment process. His enemies are literally shrinking before his eyes.


Let Scotland go

Boris Johnson and the Tories are making a massive blunder if they fail to support the Scottish National Party and embrace Scottish independence:

Already this morning the Twittersphere buzzes with talk of a renewed Scottish independence campaign, while the SNP yesterday announced its support for another referendum if a “material change in circumstances” arose between Scotland and the greater union. Surely a landslide victory by the Tories — who are widely disliked by the Scots — and a flashing green light for a deeply unpopular Brexit represent exactly such a change.

Scotland and England are not magically joined at the hip. If the Scots don’t want Brexit, don’t want Boris Johnson, and don’t want the Tories, who says the current political makeup of the UK is forever and unchanging? Political arrangements are not something to impose on reluctant, disbelieving people. If we favor independence and political self-determination only when we like the results, the only liberty on offer is the liberty to agree. But political universalism is an abstraction, and an arrogant one at that.

If Scots choose Holyrood over Westminster, or even Brussels over Holyrood, who are we to object?

Given the way in which the Scots have been the primary engine of left-wing power in the United Kingdom, Boris Johnson can secure not only the restoration of British sovereignty, but a multi-generational defeat of the Labour Left by excising the Scottish nation from the British crown.

This will, of course, mark the penultimate stage in the end of the British empire, but the empire has been shrinking steadily since the beginning of WWII. And there is absolutely no point fighting the nationalist trend in favor of a dying and discredited imperialism.

The Scots deserve to rule themselves. Let Scotland go!


This isn’t how it was supposed to go

Democrats are quite literally losing Democrats due to the impeachment charade:

Anti-impeachment Democratic Rep. Jeff Van Drew of New York has confirmed that he will switch parties and become a Republican, following a lengthy meeting with President Trump, according to Politico. Van Drew is one of two Democrats who voted ‘no’ on opening the impeachment inquiry in the first place, and has been a vocal opponent of the effort, according to the report.

I think we can start using the “debacle” word to describe it about now. If they’re actually losing elected officials over this, imagine what is happening in the electorate.


Never believe the pollsters

Audacious Epigone makes the common mistake of believing the available evidence just because it is available:

From the GOP’s perspective, Texas and Georgia are terminal but the party’s electoral winter need not necessarily set in during the 2020s. If the party is able to sustain its 2016 gains in the upper Midwest while additionally picking off a couple of small New England states like Maine and New Hampshire, Republicans could continue to win presidential elections into the 2040s.

  • 368 Biden
  • 170 Trump

Polling up to this point shows Trump not only getting crushed in Michigan and Pennsylvania but also beaten in Ohio, so seeing the path to continued electoral relevance and managing to walk down it are two very different things.

  • 328 Sanders
  • 210 Trump
  • 293 Warren
  • 239 Trump

Polling is incomplete for the rest of the Democrat field. Several states also have results for Buttigieg, but a few do not. He falls in between Sanders and Warren in how he fares against Trump in the states he’s included in.

This is a complete non-issue. The pollsters haven’t suddenly improved their performance since getting it wrong in 2016. To the contrary, they have doubled down on their demoralization campaign, attempting to meme their imagination into reality. But it won’t work.

Think about this: do Democrats appear to be confident about their prospects the next presidential election? Or do they appear to be desperately casting about for someone, anyone, who might have at least a ghost of a chance of beating the god-emperor?

Trumpslide 2020.


Boris takes two scalps

The Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn is done:

Labour was engulfed in a brutal civil war this morning as moderates warned of ’20 years of Tory rule’ unless Jeremy Corbyn’s supporters were removed from positions of power.

The bitter recrimination between Mr Corbyn’s hard-Left supporters and more moderate factions began as soon as the exit polls last night accurately predicted the party’s brutal pummelling at the hands of voters.

As Mr Corbyn revealed he would not fight another general election as opposition leader his closest confidants were quick to blame Brexit, the weather and his opponents to deflect from his failings in his four years in charge.

And so is the Liberal Democrat Party leader Jo Swinson:

The Liberal Democrats turned on their leader Jo Swinson today after she was ousted from her own seat in Scotland following a disastrous General Election campaign.

The party’s former deputy leader Simon Hughes launched a scathing attack on her as he said ‘every strategic decision’ taken since she took over had been wrong.

It came after Miss Swinson, 39, lost East Dunbartonshire to the SNP’s Amy Callaghan by just 149 votes – and when the result came in First Minister Nicola Sturgeon was caught on camera in nearby Glasgow celebrating like a football fan.

Today, Mr Hughes told Sky News: ‘Every single decision taken since Jo became the leader and Ed became the deputy leader has been the wrong decision. Every strategic decision. They decided to go for revoking Article 50, having ignored the referendum. They decided that they could argue that that was because we might be a majority government. Incredible, incredible – nobody believed it.’

The nationalist trend is in full effect now. Whether the politicians embrace it or not is irrelevant. People want to live among their own kind according to their own traditions, not in artificial multiracial, multicultural empires where they are forced to endure foreign rule, foreign traditions, and foreign religions.

Ms Swinson, 39, blamed a ‘wave of nationalism’ both north and south of the Scottish border for her party’s woes as the Tories and SNP gained seats. 

It’s not the first wave and it won’t be the last one. And yes, Boris Johnson may well be a gatekeeper who has been anointed in order to manage the wave. But it doesn’t matter and it won’t work. The gates are going to shatter under the pressure of the multigenerational socionomic trend.


The UK election

A big Conservative win is projected by the exit polls.

368 Conservatives
191 Labour
55 Scottish National Party
13 Liberal Democrats

The projected majority of 86 would be the biggest Tory majority since 1983 and 191 seats would be the worst Labour performance since 1935. The Brexit Party is not projected to win any seats and the Greens are only projected to win one.

These results are very good news, as they indicate that the multigenerational trend towards nationalism about which I’ve been writing for the last few years not only continues apace, but is in the process of entering another expansionary phase.


Final UK election predictions

It would appear the British media’s recent campaign to anoint Jeremy Corbyn as the New Hitler and paint the Labour Party as the Nazi Party 2.0 has backfired with a vengeance:

Boris Johnson is on course to win the general election with a majority of 28, but his lead over Labour has more than halved in the final weeks of the campaign, according to the polling analysis which correctly predicted a hung parliament in 2017.

YouGov’s final MRP model predicts that the Conservatives will win 339 seats, with Jeremy Corbyn’s party on 231 and the Liberal Democrats on 15.

The seat-by-seat model, which is based on thousands of interviews, puts the Tories on 43 per cent of the vote and Labour on 34 per cent. The forecast suggests the race has tightened since the previous MRP results on November 27 showed the Tories on course for a majority of 68.

There are other possible explanations, of course. One is that the UK media stopped talking about Brexit for the last three weeks, and short memories have convinced Labour’s Leave voters to stand by their traditional party identification. Another is that the pollsters are doing their usual job of pro-Labour puffery, although this would tend to be contradicted by the non-stop anti-semitism campaign of the last month.

And then there is always the perfectly reasonable suggestion that the media simply has no idea what it is talking about. We’ll find out soon enough. Regardless, it is worth noting that a majority of 28 is not at all a bad outcome for the Conservative Party, as buried deep in the body of the article is this little fact.

A majority of 28 would be the Conservatives’ best result since Margaret Thatcher’s third election victory in 1987.