The Great Retreat begins

The Saker, more or less accurately, in my opinion, reads the tea leaves behind recent strategic actions by the United States and its armed forces:

I think that there is very strong, even if only indirect, evidence which there is some very serious in-fighting taking place in the “Biden” administration and there is also strong, but also indirect, evidence that the military posture of the United States is undergoing what might end up being a major overhaul of the US armed forces.

If true, and that is a big “if”, this is neither good news nor bad news.

But this might be big news.

Why?

Because, objectively, the current US retreat on most fronts might be the “soft landing” (transition from Empire to “normal” country) many Trump voters were hoping for. Or it might not. If it is not, this might be a chaos-induced retreat, indicating that the US state is crumbling and has to urgently “simplify” things to try to survive, thereby generating a lot of factional infighting (at least one Russian observer specialized in “US studies”, Dmitrii Drobnitskii, believes to be the case: see the original article here, and its machine translation here). Finally, the state of decay of the US state might already be so advanced that we can consider it as profoundly dysfunctional and basically collapsing/collapsed. The first option (soft landing) is unlikely, yet highly desirable. The second option (chaos-induced retreat) is more likely, but much less desirable as it is only a single step back to then make several steps forward again. The last option (profoundly dysfunctional and basically collapsing/collapsed) is, alas, the most likely, and it is also, by far, the most perilous one.

For one thing, options #2 and #3 will make US actions very unpredictable and, therefore, potentially extremely dangerous. Unpredictable chaos can also quickly morph into a major war, or even several major ones, so the potential danger here is very real (even if totally unreported in Zone A). This, in turn, means that Russia, China, Iran, the DPRK, Venezuela or Cuba all have to keep their guard up and be ready for anything, even the unthinkable (which is often what total chaos generates).

Right now, the fact that the US has initiated a “great retreat” is undeniable. But the true reasons behind it, and its implications, remain quite obscure, at least to me.

I believe it is option 3 – profoundly dysfunctional and basically collapsing – that is the explanation and my reasoning is fairly straightforward. The US military is in far worse shape than even its biggest skeptics comprehend, and these retreats, from Afghanistan to Ukraine, are taking place in order to hide the US military’s lack of capability. With the prospect of a vaccine mandate being forced on an unwilling military by an unelected commander-in-chief, the US military will be fortunate if it doesn’t fall apart faster than Creepy Joe’s eyes light up after catching sight of a child in the crowd. 

Any confrontation, with any enemy provided drones and missiles by either Russia or China, will reveal the US military to be not just a paper tiger, but a paper tiger who has been thoroughly immersed in water. At this point, I think it is more likely that we’ll wake up to find the USA being ruled by a USMC colonel and China in possession of Taiwan than for Creepy Joe’s anti-administration to engage in large-scale offensive operations outside the US borders.

It’s clear that the AIPACkers and ELOWs in the anti-administration desperately want war with Iran before they lose their influence over the US military. But it’s equally clear that the US military has no hope of winning any serious encounter with the China-Russia-Iran anti-imperial alliance. Hence the serious in-fighting presently taking place within Washington.


Sterilizing the soldiers

The Antipresident is reportedly going to issue a waiver that will permit the Pentagon to mandate vaccinations for the US military on Friday:

Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin is expected Friday to announce a mandatory vaccine policy for all active-duty forces in the U.S. military, Fox News has confirmed.

The directive that all 1.3 million service members will be required to get shots in their arms comes just days after President Biden urged all federal employees to get vaccinated

In a speech last week, Biden said he was directing the Defense Department to examine how to make the COVID-19 vaccine mandatory. 

The Department of Justice was also asked by the president to look into the legality of mandating for the military a vaccine that has yet to be approved by the Food and Drug Administration. 

DOJ officials said a vaccine mandate would require a presidential waiver. 

Officials told Fox News that Austin will make his recommendation to the White House tomorrow, and the formal announcement is expected to come Friday. About 64{cc08d85cfa54367952ab9c6bd910a003a6c2c0c101231e44cdffb103f39b73a6} of active-duty forces are fully vaccinated.

I’ll admit that I fully expect the US to collapse before the year 2034. But I didn’t seriously entertain the possibility that it might happen more than a decade prior.

What, exactly, does Mr. Austin think he is going to do if one-third of the armed forces flat-out refuses the vaccines? They’ve been under pressure to get vaccinated for months already and have stood firmly against it. And now they’re all just going to submit to an order of deeply questionably constitutionality on the basis of a waiver provided by a man suffering from dementia who they all know perfectly well was not elected their Commander-in-Chief?

Perhaps they will. Or perhaps this is really about flushing the patriots and independent thinkers out of the military and they’ll be offered easy and graceful honorable discharges. We’ll find out soon enough.


Vermont is doomed

World War III increasingly looks like it is going to be really weird.

Israel’s president has been targeted by a barrage of social media snark after he bravely compared Ben & Jerry’s decision, to stop selling its ice cream in the occupied Palestinian territories, to terrorism.

The Vermont-based ice cream brand, which has developed a reputation over the years as a champion of progressive causes, announced earlier this week that it would be “inconsistent” with its values to sell its ice cream in Gaza and the West Bank. The boycott was prompted by “concerns shared with us by our fans and trusted partners,” the left-leaning ice cream maker explained.

The decision sparked both applause and condemnation but, on Wednesday, Israel’s President Isaac Herzog issued a uniquely extreme analysis of the move. 

“The boycott of Israel is a new sort of terrorism, economic terrorism,” Herzog said, as quoted by Haaretz. “Terrorism tries to harm the citizens of Israel and the economy of Israel. We must oppose this boycott and terrorism in any form.”

No doubt this will puzzle the historians of the future. It’s already confusing enough to try to understand how the assassination of a minor figure of the Austro-Hungarian nobility by Serbs led to war between the USA and Germany, but can you imagine trying to explain how World War III was started by an IDF attack on a pair of aging hippies in Burlington, Vermont?


USN throws out Royal Navy bait

It’s becoming clear that the US Navy is using the Royal Navy as bait in the attempt to learn just how willing Russia and China are to defend their territorial claims and what cards they have to play in that regard.

The United Kingdom has announced plans to permanently deploy a fleet of naval vessels to Japan, sailing through the South China Sea, as Western countries increase engagement in the Pacific region.

The UK announced on Tuesday that it will be permanently deploying two naval vessels to waters surrounding Japan later this year ahead of the HMS ‘Queen Elizabeth’-led aircraft carrier strike group’s arrival in Japan.

“Following on from the strike group’s inaugural deployment, the United Kingdom will permanently assign two ships in the region from later this year,” UK Defense Minister Ben Wallace said in Tokyo at a joint press conference with his Japanese counterpart, Nobuo Kishi. “We will respect China and we hope that China respects us. We will sail where international law allows.”

Wallace stated that the British vessels will not be specifically based at a Japanese port but will patrol the surrounding waters. 

Of course, this involves a redefinition of “where international law allows” in order to test the willingness of Russia and China to put their ship-killing missiles where their lines on the map are. Using the British ships as a proxy is actually a good sign, as it means the USN has an excuse to back down and avoid WWIII if either the Russians or Chinese decide to call their bluff and sink the intruding ship with something the US forces aren’t equipped to handle.

If I had to guess who is more likely to call and raise, I would think it would be China. Having successfully taken Hong Kong, the Chinese are increasingly confident of bringing Taiwan back into the fold and Xi appears to be a little bolder and a lot less deferential to the neoclowns than Putin.

And time is not on the neoclowns’ side. Every month, the China-Russia-Iran Concord grows stronger, while both the neoclowns’ grip on the North Atlantic Empire and the Empire itself gets weaker. If the neoclowns don’t make use the North Atlantic forces soon, they will lose the ability to do so, and they’ve never had more influence over an administration than they do over the fraudulent Biden one.

The problem is, the effort to use that influence risks stirring up both the American and the British people against them. It’s legitimately a difficult call, but their historical lack of risk aversion will, sooner or later, lead them to push their luck too far. This is why war is more likely than not, barring the exposure and removal of the fraudulent administration.


Please clap, or else

An Englishman has been arrested for showing insufficient enthusiasm about the failure of three African players to successfully make penalty kicks:

Greater Manchester Police have arrested the Savills estate agent who allegedly posted a racist tweet about black England football stars after the Three Lions lost the European Championship to Italy.

Andrew Bone, 37, self-presented at Cheadle Heath police station this morning and was subsequently arrested on suspicion of an offence under Section 1 of the Malicious Communications Act. 

It’s a good thing Shaquille O’Neal is retired. They’d have had to arrest the entire Los Angeles Lakers fan base after one of Shaq’s epic free throw performances in the NBA playoffs. 

It seems to me the intrinsic problem with declaring that there is no room for racists in society means that anyone who can be accused of racism – which is nearly everyone of European descent – are being left with absolutely no alternative but to eliminate all the anti-racists from society.

Which means, of course, that there will be war.


Remember the Yuma!

 At least we know what the name of the object of the false flag intended to start WWIII will be:

American sailors at the helm of a naval landing vessel have charted course for the Black Sea to take part in wargames alongside other NATO forces, the US Sixth Fleet has announced on Thursday, amid fears of conflict in the region.

According to commanders, the US Naval Ship Yuma, a Spearhead-class expeditionary fast transport craft, “began its northbound transit into the Black Sea to operate with our NATO allies and partners.” The twin-hulled catamaran is able to transit a whole company of US Marines and is equipped with both a flight deck and a ramp to allow armored vehicles to rapidly roll into battle.

The Yuma will take part in the colossal ‘Sea Breeze’ exercises along with personnel from 32 separate nations, including Ukraine, the UK, France, Poland, Georgia, Senegal, South Korea, Pakistan, Japan and Morocco, among others.

Or perhaps it will be known as “the Black Sea Incident”. 


The clock is ticking

The imperial US slinks away from the graveyard of empires:

The U.S. left Afghanistan’s Bagram Airfield after nearly 20 years by shutting off the electricity and slipping away in the night without notifying the base’s new Afghan commander, who discovered the Americans’ departure more than two hours after they left, Afghan military officials said.

Afghanistan’s army showed off the sprawling air base Monday, providing a rare first glimpse of what had been the epicenter of America’s war to unseat the Taliban and hunt down the al-Qaida perpetrators of the 9/11 attacks on America.

The U.S. announced Friday it had completely vacated its biggest airfield in the country in advance of a final withdrawal the Pentagon says will be completed by the end of August.

“We (heard) some rumor that the Americans had left Bagram … and finally by seven o’clock in the morning, we understood that it was confirmed that they had already left Bagram,” Gen. Mir Asadullah Kohistani, Bagram’s new commander said.

Empires seldom grasp that they are in decline, even when the signs are obvious to the educated observer. I note that it took two years for the Soviet Union to fall after withdrawing from Afghanistan. 2023 would be ten years earlier than my prediction of 2033, but it’s hard to argue that it’s impossible. 

Kohistani said the U.S. left behind 3.5 million items, all itemized by the departing U.S. military. They include tens of thousands of bottles of water, energy drinks and military ready-made meals, known as MRE’s.

“When you say 3.5 million items, it is every small items, like every phone, every door knob, every window in every barracks, every door in every barracks,” he said.

The big ticket items left behind include thousands of civilian vehicles, many of them without keys to start them, and hundreds of armored vehicles. Kohistani said the U.S. also left behind small weapons and the ammunition for them, but the departing troops took heavy weapons with them. Ammunition for weapons not being left behind for the Afghan military was blown up before they left.

Much brave. So victory! Very pride. 


Thomas Wictor is a goofball

I know a number of people think highly of Thomas Wictor, but there is a reason you seldom see me quoting or linking to what he writes. For all his pretensions and posturings, his level of actual knowledge on subjects that can be independently checked doesn’t reach the level of Wikipedia. Consider what he wrote in his attempt to defend his Holocaustianity from the criticism of Nick Fuentes, :

There were five crematoria at Auschwitz-Birkenau. 
Crematorium I = 372,300 incinerated.
Crematorium II = 876,960 incinerated.
Crematorium IV = 443,904 incinerated.
Crematorium V = 490,752.
We’re already up to 2,529,132.

Now, we’re really not. It appears that Wictor was upset and typed that in a heightened emotional state, because he doesn’t get the math right. The total of the four crematoria he mentions is 2,183,916, not 2,529,132, and if we add the 789,120 he subsequently reports for the omitted Crematorium III, that brings the total to 2,973,036, which also isn’t 2,529,132.

Now, remember that the original “official” number of people executed at Auschwitz-Birkenau was 4 million. Over time, that estimate has been publicly reduced to 1.5 million. That’s literally the number that is on the English plaque at the site.

But the number has been further reduced based on the fact that it appears there weren’t even that many people transported to the site in the first place.

The words on the English plaque are:
FOR EVER LET THIS PLACE BE A CRY OF DESPAIR AND A WARNING TO HUMANITY, WHERE THE NAZIS MURDERED ABOUT ONE AND A HALF MILLION MEN, WOMEN AND CHILDREN MAINLY JEWS FROM VARIOUS COUNTRIES OF EUROPE. AUSCHWITZ-BIRKENAU 1940-1945
But 1.5 million is not the official number of deaths at Auschwitz.  The official estimate, currently given by the Auschwitz-Birkenau Museum, is 1.1 million deaths.
In 1980, Franciszek Piper, the former director of the Auschwitz Museum, began a study of all the available documents at Auschwitz; he calculated that 1,077,180 prisoners, of which 90{cc08d85cfa54367952ab9c6bd910a003a6c2c0c101231e44cdffb103f39b73a6} were Jews, had died at Auschwitz, based on his ESTIMATE of the number of ARRIVALS minus the number of liberated prisoners and the number of transferred, escaped and released prisoners. This number includes the Jews, not registered in the camp, who are assumed to have been gassed immediately upon arrival.
Franciszek Piper wrote the following in an article on the official Auschwitz web site:
After an overall analysis of the original sources and findings on deportation to Auschwitz, I CONCLUDED that a total of at least 1,300,000 people were deported there, and that 1,100,000 of them perished. Approximately 200,000 people were deported from Auschwitz to other camps as part of the redistribution of labor resources and the final liquidation of the camp.
According to the Auschwitz Museum, no records of the number of prisoners who died at Auschwitz-Birkenau have ever been found. In an article on the official Auschwitz website, the former director, Franciszek Piper, wrote the following:
When the Soviet army entered the camp on January 27, 1945, they did not find any German documents there giving the number of victims, or any that could be used as a basis for calculating this number. Such documents (transport lists, notifications of the arrival of transports, reports about the outcome of selection) had been destroyed before liberation. For this reason, the Soviet commission investigating the crimes committed in Auschwitz Concentration Camp had to make estimates.

From Wikipedia: “Of the 1.3 million people sent to Auschwitz, 1.1 million died.”

Now, keep in mind that Wictor claims that his considerably inflated numbers are based on nonexistent German records. He writes: “ALL THESE FIGURES CAME FROM THE NAZIS.”

Except they didn’t. They couldn’t have. They don’t even come close to adding up. Even the 1.1 million number assumes that every single person whose survival isn’t documented died, so it’s more of a statistical ceiling than a floor. Wictor’s claim that “Nick Fuentes is both dishonest AND ignorant” appears to be nothing more than the emotional projection on the part of someone who a) isn’t as smart as he wants to think he is, and b) isn’t able to rationally question beliefs that were successfully instilled in him. If anyone is “both dishonest and ignorant” here, it’s clearly Wictor, to which we must, in light of his grandiose and groundless posturing, add “probably not taking his meds again”.

We’ll start from the beginning.

Where does the figure of six million originate?

From the Nazis.

Game over.

The Nazis kept meticulous records of how many people they murdered.

Except they didn’t, as both the Soviets and the Director of the Auschwitz Museum have confirmed. But sure, let’s go ahead and go back to the beginning. As it happens, the iconic six million figure long predates the existence of the German National Socialist Workers Party, and even predates the existence of Germany, Charlemagne, and the Holy Roman Empire, as it goes back to at least 136 AD. Forget Nazis and death camps, we are reliably informed that six million Jews faced starvation in 1931 after another six million Jews died in the Bar-Cochiba Revolt during the Third Jewish-Roman War.


Mandated military vaccinations

The US military is preparing to mandate the Covid vaccines.

The U.S. Army has reportedly told its commands to prepare to administer mandatory COVID-19 vaccinations to its entire force by as early as Sept. 1, in anticipation of full approval for the vaccines by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

On Thursday the Army Times first reported on the potential mandatory vaccines, based on a portion of an order updating the Headquarters for the Department of the Army (HQDA) Executive Order 225-21, COVID-19 Steady-State Operations.

“Commanders will continue COVID-19 vaccination operations and prepare for a directive to mandate COVID-19 vaccination for service members [on or around] 01 September 2021, pending full FDA licensure,” the portion of the updated order states. “Commands will be prepared to provide a backbrief on servicemember vaccination status and way ahead for completion once the vaccine is mandated.”

This isn’t the worst thing now that the US government has all but declared war on white Americans. There will almost certainly be unintended consequences of this policy, especially for the USAF, in light of how the vaccination campaigns are proceeding in other militaries where vaccination is mandated.

Three days after taking command of the prestigious Nahal infantry brigade, Col. Sharon Asman, aged 42, collapsed and died during a combat fitness drill at a military base in central Israel. On-the-spot efforts to resuscitate him were unsuccessful. Col. Asman served in the IDF for 25 years, during which he held numerous command roles and took part in combat in Lebanon and Gaza.


Another false flag is prepped

 Don’t fall for “another Pearl Harbor” and remember nearly every US war since the war for independence has been preceded by a false flag of one sort or another:

On Wednesday, Japan’s number two defense official said China and Russia are showing increased signs of military cooperation and their activities in the Pacific could show signs they plan to launch a Pearl Harbor-style attack on the U.S., similitar to how Japan did on Dec. 7, 1941, propelling the U.S. into World War II.

Speaking at a Hudson Institute event, Japanese State Defense Minister Yasuhide Nakayama said, “Seventy years ago, we attacked Pearl Harbor, but now the U.S. and Japan [are] very good allies, one of the best allies all over the world.” Nakayama went on to say now Russian naval forces “are really exercising just right in front of the western part of Honolulu, and so I don’t want to remind the 70 years ago, but we have to be careful of the exercising of the Russians.”

Japan’s State Defense Minister is the direct deputy to its Defense Minister, Japan’s top defense official

In recent days, Russia’s fleet has conducted various naval drills near Hawaii, including practicing sinking an aircraft carrier. Some Russian ships have been reported operating within 35 nautical miles of Hawaii’s coastline. Amidst the nearby Russian naval drills, the U.S. Navy repositioned Carrier Strike Group (CSG) 1 in the Hawaiian Islands Operating Area.

Nakayama said, “We have to show the deterrence towards China, and not just China but also the Russians, because, as I told you, that they are doing their exercises together.”

China and Russia are not the aggressors. Russia is not trying to build bases in Mexico. China is not trying to put missiles in Canada. But the US military is expanding its operations in both Asia and Eastern Europe, because the neocons who want war with a) Syria, b) Iran, c) Russia, and d) China know that operational capacity is trending away from the military over which they have influence, so they want to use it while they still can. 

The best thing the USA can do is pull out of Asia and pull out of Europe and abandon its outdated aspirations for permanent global hegemony.